Potential Benefits and Risks of Mammograms

 


Question 2: What is the chance of a woman being diagnosed with invasive breast cancer in the next 10 years?

Answer 2: Women often are told the chance of getting breast cancer is 1 in 8. This means that from birth until age 90 the chance of being diagnosed with breast cancer is 1 in 8. The chance of getting breast cancer increases as women get older.

chances of breast cancer by age group

The chance that a 30 year old woman will be diagnosed with invasive breast cancer in the next 10 years is about 0.4% or about 1 of every 250 women who are 30 years old will be diagnosed with breast cancer in the next 10 years.

The chance that a 40 year old woman will be diagnosed with invasive breast cancer in the next 10 years is about 1.5% or about 1 of every 70 women who are 40 years old will be diagnosed with breast cancer in the next 10 years.

The chance that a 50 year old women will be diagnosed with invasive breast cancer in the next ten years is about 2.4% or about 1 of every 40 women who are 50 years old will be diagnosed with breast cancer in the next 10 years.

The chance that a 60 year old women will be diagnosed with invasive breast cancer in the next 10 years is about 3.4% or about 1 of every 30 women who are 60 years old will be diagnosed with breast cancer in the next 10 years.


References:
Kosary CL, Ries LAG, Miller BA, Hankey BF, Harras A, Edwards BK. SEER Cancer Statistics Review, 1973-1992: Tables and graphs. Bethesda, MD: National Cancer Institute; 1995: DHHS Publ No. (NIH)96-2789.



Go to next question


Navigation bar
Questions & Answers  |   Questionnaire  |   Comments