Potential Benefits & Risks of Mammograms



Question 19: Mammograms detect ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS), is that a good thing?
Answer 19: Invasive cancer & DCIS lesion  Nearly all breast cancer arises in the milk ducts of the breast. When cancer cells grow and spread outside these ducts the cancer is considered to be invasive (upper figure). DCIS is a breast lesion that is contained within the milk ducts of the breast (lower figure). DCIS lesions contain cells that appear to be cancer but not all such lesions behave as cancer, i.e. they will not spread outside the ducts and invade surrounding tissue nor will they be life-threatening. In other words, only some DCIS lesions will eventually become invasive cancer. What percent will become invasive cancer is not known. Almost all women who have DCIS detected are currently treated by surgery, either a mastectomy (removal of the breast) or a lumpectomy (excision of the tumor) with or without radiation.

Based on current knowledge, doctors cannot tell which DCIS lesions will become invasive cancer and which will not. Detecting DCIS on mammograms may benefit those women whose DCIS would become invasive cancer. However, it may potentially harm those women who have breast surgery but whose DCIS would never become invasive cancer.

One large study of women aged 50-59 years found that women who underwent routine mammograms and clinical breast examinations were 4 times more likely to have detection of DCIS as women who only had routine clinical breast examinations. Yet, the same number of breast cancer deaths were prevented among women who underwent routine mammograms and clinical breast examinations as women who only had routine clinical breast examinations. Thus, the value of detecting DCIS lesions on mammograms is not clear.

If 10,000 40 year old women get routine mammograms over the next 10 years, 40 to 50 will turn out to have DCIS.

If 10,000 50 year old women get routine mammograms over the next 10 years, 70 to 120 will turn out to have DCIS.

If 10,000 60 year old women get routine mammograms over the next 10 years, 110 to 120 will turn out to have DCIS.

If 10,000 70 year old women get routine mammograms over the next 10 years, 95 to 150 will turn out to have DCIS.

The chance that any women 40 or older diagnosed with DCIS who receives treatment will die of invasive breast cancer in the next ten years is about 2% (about 2 of every 100 women).




References:
Ernster VL, Barclay J, Kerlikowske K, Grady D, Henderson IC. Incidence of and treatment for ductal carcinoma in situ of the breast. JAMA 1996;275:913-918.
Kerlikowske K, Barclay J. Outcomes of modern screening mammography. Monogr Natl Cancer Inst 1997;22:105-111

Ernster VL, Barclay J, Kerlikowske K, Wilkie H, Ballard-Barbash R. Mortality among women with ductal carcinoma in situ of the breast cancer in the population-based SEER Program. Arch Intern Med 2000;160:953-958.
May DS, Lee NC, Nadel MR, Henson RM, Miller DS. The National Breast and Cervical Cancer Early Detection Program: report on the first 4 years of mammography provided to medically underserved women. Am J Roentgenol. 1998;170:97-104
Kerlikowske KM, Grady DG, Barclay J, Sickles EA, Eaton A, Ernster V. Positive predictive value of screening mammography by age and family history of breast cancer. JAMA 1993; 270:2444-50.
Miller AB, To T, Baines CJ, Wall C. Canadian National Breast Screening Study-2: 13-year results of randomized trial in women aged 50-59 years. JNCI 2000;92:1490-9.
Image adapted from Breast Health with permission of the publisher ©(1994) Business and Legal Reports, Inc., 39 Academy Street, Madison, CT, 06443.



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